[CivicAccess-discuss] Excellent Federal election results graphics

[James McKinney]

Merging NDP and Liberal is extremely questionable. The most significant
switches in the last election were past Liberal voters switching to
Conservative, most significantly in Ontario. Pundit's Guide has a nice
analysis of the "splits":
http://www.punditsguide.ca/2011/05/splits-decisions-a-closer-look-at-vote-shifts-in-greater-toronto/Many
Liberals would never vote NDP, and vice versa. There is no
"left-right"
binary in Canada. Liberal is centre, NDP is left. Although the author does
note that this is merely an experiment, I would assume they didn't judge it
an experiment in pure fantasy.

Also questionable is grouping all four western provinces (most analysts only
go as far as grouping Manitoba and Saskatchewan and treating BC and Alberta
independently) and grouping ON and QC together. The Maritime provinces also
have significant differences (NB is very Conservative, PE and NL mostly
Liberal - not sure why PE is colored blue), but as they represent fewer
seats they are often grouped nonetheless.

The rest of the graphs are interesting.

On Wed, May 11, 2011 at 8:19 AM, Glen Newton <glen.newton at gmail.com> wrote:

> http://forum.skyscraperpage.com/showthread.php?t=190938
>
> This goes beyond the usual presentation of results, including a
> theoretical 2011 election where the NDP and Liberal results are
> merged, new results calculated and the distribution of ridings
> displayed.
>
> -Glen Newton
>
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